Home Stars vs Koforidua: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ho Sports Stadium, Ho
The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Koforidua. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Home Stars vs Koforidua?
Koforidua starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,592 vs 1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Home Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Koforidua have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Great Olympics(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Golden Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Golden Kicks(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nania(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | WAFA(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 2, 2026 | Attram de Visser(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Port City(home) | 2-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Na God(away) | 3-1 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Home Stars win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Koforidua win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Home Stars 1-0 Koforidua | Division One League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Koforidua 2-1 Home Stars | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Home Stars vs Koforidua on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Koforidua score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Stars | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Koforidua | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Home Stars sit 3rd in Division One League (3 points from 1 matches) and Koforidua sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Home Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Koforidua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Home Stars vs Koforidua?
- The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Koforidua.
- Where and when is Home Stars vs Koforidua played?
- Home Stars vs Koforidua is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ho Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.