Match

Home Stars vs Nania: prediction and stats

Division One LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ho Sports Stadium, Ho

Home StarsNania

The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for Nania. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Home Stars vs Nania?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Home Stars (1,490) and Nania (1,494).

Home Stars win49 %
Draw32 %
Nania win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Home Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Nania have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Home Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Okwawu(home)0-1Division One League
May 9, 2026Great Olympics(away)0-2Division One League
May 3, 2026Golden Warriors(home)1-1Division One League
Apr 25, 2026Golden Kicks(away)1-1Division One League
Apr 12, 2026Nania(home)0-1Division One League
Nania
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Na God(away)1-0Division One League
May 9, 2026Hakla SC(home)0-0Division One League
May 3, 2026Inter Allies(away)2-1Division One League
Apr 25, 2026Great Ambitions(home)2-1Division One League
Apr 12, 2026Home Stars(away)1-0Division One League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Home Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nania win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Home Stars 0-1 NaniaDivision One League
Dec 13, 2025Nania 0-0 Home StarsDivision One League

Last archived meeting: Home Stars vs Nania on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nania score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Home Stars0.80.947/152/15
Nania0.80.875/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Home Stars sit 3rd in Division One League (3 points from 1 matches) and Nania sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Home Stars1100103
13Nania1001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Home Stars vs Nania?
The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for Nania.
Where and when is Home Stars vs Nania played?
Home Stars vs Nania is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ho Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Home Stars and Nania

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