Where and when is Home Stars vs True Democracy played?

Home Stars vs True Democracy is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ho Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Home Stars vs True Democracy: prediction and stats

Division One LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ho Sports Stadium, Ho

Home Stars

True Democracy

The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for True Democracy. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Home Stars vs True Democracy?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Home Stars (1,490) and True Democracy (1,500).

Home Stars win49 %

Draw29 %

True Democracy win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Home Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; True Democracy have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Home Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Okwawu(home)	0-1	Division One League
May 9, 2026	Great Olympics(away)	0-2	Division One League
May 3, 2026	Golden Warriors(home)	1-1	Division One League
Apr 25, 2026	Golden Kicks(away)	1-1	Division One League
Apr 12, 2026	Nania(home)	0-1	Division One League

True Democracy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 15, 2026	Attram de Visser(away)	1-2	Division One League
May 9, 2026	Port City(home)	1-0	Division One League
May 2, 2026	Na God(away)	0-1	Division One League
Apr 26, 2026	Hakla SC(home)	3-2	Division One League
Apr 12, 2026	Inter Allies(away)	1-2	Division One League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Home Stars win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 True Democracy win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2026	Home Stars 1-0 True Democracy	Division One League
Nov 30, 2025	True Democracy 1-0 Home Stars	Division One League

Last archived meeting: Home Stars vs True Democracy on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; True Democracy score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Home Stars	0.8	0.9	4	7/15	2/15
True Democracy	1.1	1.1	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Home Stars sit 3rd in Division One League (3 points from 1 matches) and True Democracy sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Home Stars	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
11	True Democracy	1	0	1	0	1	1	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Home Stars vs True Democracy?: The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for True Democracy.
Where and when is Home Stars vs True Democracy played?: Home Stars vs True Democracy is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ho Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.