Match

Home United vs Albirex Niigata S: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bishan Stadium, Singapore

Home UnitedAlbirex Niigata S

The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Albirex Niigata S. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Home United vs Albirex Niigata S?

Home United starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,674).

Home United win47 %
Draw23 %
Albirex Niigata S win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Home United have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Albirex Niigata S have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Home United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-3Premier League
May 10, 2026Albirex Niigata S(home)0-2Premier League
May 3, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)0-0Premier League
Apr 26, 2026Geylang International(away)3-0Premier League
Apr 20, 2026Young Lions(home)2-0Premier League
Albirex Niigata S
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Young Lions(home)3-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Home United(away)2-0Premier League
May 4, 2026Young Lions(home)1-0Premier League
Apr 30, 2026Tampines Rovers(home)2-1Premier League
Apr 25, 2026Tanjong Pagar(home)4-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Home United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Albirex Niigata S win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Home United 0-2 Albirex Niigata SPremier League
Feb 28, 2026Albirex Niigata S 3-3 Home UnitedPremier League
Oct 27, 2025Home United 3-0 Albirex Niigata SPremier League
Apr 25, 2025Albirex Niigata S 0-2 Home UnitedPremier League
Jan 17, 2025Home United 6-0 Albirex Niigata SPremier League
Aug 25, 2024Albirex Niigata S 3-1 Home UnitedPremier League

Last archived meeting: Home United vs Albirex Niigata S on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Home United score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Albirex Niigata S score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Home United2.70.985/159/15
Albirex Niigata S2.10.886/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Home United sit 1st in Premier League (51 points from 21 matches) and Albirex Niigata S sit 3rd (47 points from 21 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Home United211632701451
3Albirex Niigata S211524471947

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Home United vs Albirex Niigata S?
The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Albirex Niigata S.
Where and when is Home United vs Albirex Niigata S played?
Home United vs Albirex Niigata S is played on February 14, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bishan Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Home United and Albirex Niigata S

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