Houtvenne vs Knokke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oosterzonen, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes Knokke the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Houtvenne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Knokke?
Knokke starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houtvenne have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Knokke have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 3-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Houtvenne win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Knokke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Houtvenne 1-2 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Knokke 0-0 Houtvenne | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Knokke 0-0 Houtvenne | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Houtvenne score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Knokke score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houtvenne | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Knokke | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Houtvenne sit 12th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 12 matches) and Knokke sit 10th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knokke | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Houtvenne vs Knokke?
- The Footlab model makes Knokke the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Houtvenne.
- Where and when is Houtvenne vs Knokke played?
- Houtvenne vs Knokke is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oosterzonen, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.