Huarte vs Aoiz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Areta, Huarte (Uharte)
The Footlab model makes Huarte the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Aoiz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huarte vs Aoiz?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Huarte (1,783) and Aoiz (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huarte have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Aoiz have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Huarte win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aoiz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Aoiz 2-3 Huarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Huarte 1-2 Aoiz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Huarte score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aoiz score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huarte | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Aoiz | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huarte sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (47 points from 34 matches) and Aoiz sit 14th (36 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Huarte | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 47 |
| 14 | Aoiz | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 47 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huarte vs Aoiz?
- The Footlab model makes Huarte the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Aoiz.
- Where and when is Huarte vs Aoiz played?
- Huarte vs Aoiz is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Areta, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.