Match

Gazte Berriak vs Cantolagua: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Gazte BerriakCantolagua

The Footlab model makes Gazte Berriak the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Cantolagua. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gazte Berriak vs Cantolagua?

Gazte Berriak win59 %
Draw23 %
Cantolagua win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Gazte Berriak have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Cantolagua have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cantolagua
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2025Pamplona(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
May 1, 2025Cirbonero(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 27, 2025Cortes(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 16, 2025Valle Egüés(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 12, 2025Txantrea(home)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gazte Berriak vs Cantolagua?
The Footlab model makes Gazte Berriak the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Cantolagua.
Where and when is Gazte Berriak vs Cantolagua played?
Gazte Berriak vs Cantolagua is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gazte Berriak and Cantolagua

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