Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Erbacher Sportpark, Erbach im Odenwald
The Footlab model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Hummetroth (1,684) and Vfb Marburg (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hummetroth have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hummetroth win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Vfb Marburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 0-1 Hummetroth | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Hummetroth 1-1 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Hummetroth on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hummetroth | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hummetroth sit 17th in Oberliga - Hessen (1 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 17 | Hummetroth | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Hummetroth.
- Where and when is Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erbacher Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.