Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Erbacher Sportpark, Erbach im Odenwald
The Footlab AI model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vfb Marburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Hummetroth (1,805) and Vfb Marburg (1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hummetroth
Not enough data to predict the Hummetroth lineup.
Vfb Marburg
Not enough data to predict the Vfb Marburg lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 08:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hummetroth have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Friedberg(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Hummetroth wins, 1 draw, 0 Vfb Marburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 1-2 Hummetroth | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 0-1 Hummetroth | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Hummetroth 1-1 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Hummetroth on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hummetroth score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hummetroth | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hummetroth sit 17th in Oberliga - Hessen (9 points from 12 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 20 |
| 17 | Hummetroth | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 9 |
A question about Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Hummetroth.
- Where and when is Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Hummetroth vs Vfb Marburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Erbacher Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.