Hürth vs Frechen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Salus Park, Hürth
The Footlab model makes Frechen the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Hürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hürth vs Frechen?
Frechen starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hürth have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Frechen have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Porz(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Frechen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 1, 2025 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2025 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Porz(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hürth win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Frechen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2025 | Hürth 2-3 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Frechen 3-3 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Hürth 1-0 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Frechen 3-1 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Hürth 2-0 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Frechen 1-1 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Hürth score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Frechen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hürth | 1.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Frechen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frechen | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 66 | 54 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hürth vs Frechen?
- The Footlab model makes Frechen the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Hürth.
- Where and when is Hürth vs Frechen played?
- Hürth vs Frechen is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Salus Park, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.