TuS BW Königsdorf vs Porz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Königsdorf, Frechen
The Footlab model makes TuS BW Königsdorf the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 12% for Porz. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS BW Königsdorf vs Porz?
TuS BW Königsdorf starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS BW Königsdorf have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Porz have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | SF Düren(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 0-10 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Frechen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 3-8 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 TuS BW Königsdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Porz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Porz 1-3 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 5, 2025 | TuS BW Königsdorf 3-2 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Porz 1-0 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 17, 2024 | TuS BW Königsdorf 0-2 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Porz 2-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 8, 2023 | TuS BW Königsdorf 4-1 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Porz vs TuS BW Königsdorf on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TuS BW Königsdorf score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Porz score 1.7 and concede 4.1. The model gives a 89% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS BW Königsdorf | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Porz | 1.7 | 4.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS BW Königsdorf sit 9th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (46 points from 30 matches) and Porz sit 13th (25 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 54 | 46 |
| 13 | Porz | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 99 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS BW Königsdorf vs Porz?
- The Footlab model makes TuS BW Königsdorf the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 12% for Porz.
- Where and when is TuS BW Königsdorf vs Porz played?
- TuS BW Königsdorf vs Porz is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Königsdorf, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 89% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.