Hürth vs Porz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Salus Park, Hürth
The Footlab model makes Hürth the favourite at 65%, against 16% for a draw and 19% for Porz. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hürth vs Porz?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Hürth (1,686) and Porz (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hürth have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Porz have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Porz(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Frechen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 1, 2025 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2025 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 0-10 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Frechen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 3-8 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hürth win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Porz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2025 | Porz 3-3 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Hürth 4-1 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Porz 3-0 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Hürth 2-0 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Hürth score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Porz score 1.7 and concede 4.1. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hürth | 1.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Porz | 1.7 | 4.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Porz | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 99 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hürth vs Porz?
- The Footlab model makes Hürth the favourite at 65%, against 16% for a draw and 19% for Porz.
- Where and when is Hürth vs Porz played?
- Hürth vs Porz is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Salus Park, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.