VfL Vichttal vs SSV Merten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Dörenberg - EWV Arena, Stolberg (Rhineland)
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for VfL Vichttal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Vichttal vs SSV Merten?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate VfL Vichttal (1,885) and SSV Merten (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Vichttal have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; SSV Merten have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 6-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Porz(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 VfL Vichttal win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SSV Merten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | VfL Vichttal 2-2 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 12, 2025 | SSV Merten 2-1 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 23, 2025 | VfL Vichttal 2-4 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 8, 2024 | SSV Merten 4-2 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: VfL Vichttal vs SSV Merten on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Vichttal score 3.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Vichttal | 3.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Vichttal sit 5th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (59 points from 30 matches) and SSV Merten sit 4th (60 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
| 5 | VfL Vichttal | 30 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 80 | 43 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Vichttal vs SSV Merten?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for VfL Vichttal.
- Where and when is VfL Vichttal vs SSV Merten played?
- VfL Vichttal vs SSV Merten is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Dörenberg - EWV Arena, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.