Hvězda Cheb vs Karlovy Vary: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Hvězda Cheb tráva, Cheb
The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Hvězda Cheb. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hvězda Cheb vs Karlovy Vary?
Karlovy Vary is a heavy favourite: 1,698 Elo points against 1,385 — a 313-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hvězda Cheb have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Karlovy Vary have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Slovan Velvary(home) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(away) | 0-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 4-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Chomutov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hvězda Cheb score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karlovy Vary score 2.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hvězda Cheb | 0.9 | 2.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Karlovy Vary | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hvězda Cheb sit 13th in 4. liga - Divizie B (3 points from 3 matches) and Karlovy Vary sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Karlovy Vary | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Hvězda Cheb | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hvězda Cheb vs Karlovy Vary?
- The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Hvězda Cheb.
- Where and when is Hvězda Cheb vs Karlovy Vary played?
- Hvězda Cheb vs Karlovy Vary is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Hvězda Cheb tráva, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.