Karlovy Vary vs Ostrov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Drahovice UMT, Karlovy Vary
The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Ostrov. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlovy Vary vs Ostrov?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Karlovy Vary (1,698) and Ostrov (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlovy Vary have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ostrov have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Klasterec n. Oh.(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Karlovy Vary win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ostrov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Ostrov 2-0 Karlovy Vary | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Karlovy Vary 2-0 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| May 17, 2025 | Ostrov 0-0 Karlovy Vary | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Karlovy Vary 1-0 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
Last archived meeting: Ostrov vs Karlovy Vary on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlovy Vary score 2.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ostrov score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlovy Vary | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ostrov | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlovy Vary sit 4th in 4. liga - Divizie B (6 points from 3 matches) and Ostrov sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Karlovy Vary | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Ostrov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlovy Vary vs Ostrov?
- The Footlab model makes Karlovy Vary the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Ostrov.
- Where and when is Karlovy Vary vs Ostrov played?
- Karlovy Vary vs Ostrov is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Drahovice UMT, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.