IF Karlstad vs Karlberg: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 24Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tingvalla IP, Karlstad
The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Karlberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Karlstad vs Karlberg?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate IF Karlstad (1,673) and Karlberg (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Karlstad have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Karlberg have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Järfälla(away) | 4-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(home) | 0-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 2-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Enköping(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stocksund(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 IF Karlstad win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karlberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Karlberg 0-0 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 13, 2025 | IF Karlstad 1-0 Karlberg | Ettan - Norra |
| May 4, 2025 | Karlberg 2-3 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Karlberg 2-4 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| May 8, 2024 | IF Karlstad 2-1 Karlberg | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Karlberg vs IF Karlstad on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Karlstad score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karlberg score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Karlberg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Karlstad sit 3rd in Ettan - Norra (36 points from 18 matches) and Karlberg sit 8th (24 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IF Karlstad | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 36 |
| 8 | Karlberg | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Karlstad vs Karlberg?
- The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Karlberg.
- Where and when is IF Karlstad vs Karlberg played?
- IF Karlstad vs Karlberg is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tingvalla IP, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.