IFK Umeå vs Umeå FC Akademi: prediction and stats
Division 2 - NorrlandNorrland - Relegation RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Vildmannavallen IP, Umeå
The Footlab model makes Umeå FC Akademi the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for IFK Umeå. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Umeå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate IFK Umeå (1,266) and Umeå FC Akademi (1,338).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Umeå have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Umeå FC Akademi have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Umea FF(away) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Storfors(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fransta(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Storfors(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Umeå FC Akademi(away) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fransta(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Umea FF(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Friska Viljor(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Skellefteå(away) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 15, 2026 | IFK Umeå(home) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 IFK Umeå win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Umeå FC Akademi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Umeå FC Akademi 3-3 IFK Umeå | Division 2 - Norrland |
| May 6, 2026 | IFK Umeå 1-4 Umeå FC Akademi | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 25, 2020 | IFK Umeå 0-1 Umeå FC Akademi | Division 2 - Norrland |
Last archived meeting: Umeå FC Akademi vs IFK Umeå on Jun 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Umeå score 0.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Umeå FC Akademi score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Umeå | 0.9 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Umeå FC Akademi | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Umeå sit 7th in Division 2 - Norrland (4 points from 12 matches) and Umeå FC Akademi sit 5th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 11 |
| 7 | IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Umeå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
- The Footlab model makes Umeå FC Akademi the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for IFK Umeå.
- Where and when is IFK Umeå vs Umeå FC Akademi played?
- IFK Umeå vs Umeå FC Akademi is played on August 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Vildmannavallen IP, in the Division 2 - Norrland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.