III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hévízi úti Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes III. Kerületi TUE the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for ESMTK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate III. Kerületi TUE (1,624) and ESMTK (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, III. Kerületi TUE have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; ESMTK have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-7 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Csepel(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 III. Kerületi TUE win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ESMTK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE 3-1 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Nov 2, 2025 | ESMTK 1-0 III. Kerületi TUE | NB III - Southeast |
| Feb 10, 2024 | III. Kerületi TUE 0-0 ESMTK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2023 | ESMTK 4-1 III. Kerületi TUE | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | III. Kerületi TUE 1-2 ESMTK | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
III. Kerületi TUE score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| III. Kerületi TUE | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
III. Kerületi TUE sit 3rd in NB III - Southeast (12 points from 4 matches) and ESMTK sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | III. Kerületi TUE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK?
- The Footlab model makes III. Kerületi TUE the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for ESMTK.
- Where and when is III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK played?
- III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hévízi úti Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.