ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ESMTK Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes ESMTK the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for III. Kerületi TUE. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE?
ESMTK starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ESMTK
4-3-3- 21Janos Molnar
- 11Krisztian Schildkraut
- 13Alex Burzi
- 7Richard Slezak
- 10Bence Soos
- 4Balazs Zsemlye
- 20Robert Molnar
- 23Tamas Molnar
- 24Peter Szahl
- 18Vladimir Desnica
- 1A. Bencze
III. Kerületi TUE
4-3-3- 9Richard Cseszneki
- 7Peter Hegyi
- 21Norman Timari
- 22D. Wirth
- 15Adam Gosztola
- 74Aron Szucs
- 5Ferenc Fodor
- 20Balazs Lencses
- 17P. Palvolgyi
- 88Roland Bekker
- 68Tamas Hajagos
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 08:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ESMTK have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; III. Kerületi TUE have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Újpest II(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Szolnoki MAV FC(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Honvéd II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(away) | 4-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dabas(home) | 6-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Újpest II(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Szolnoki MAV FC(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Honvéd II(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 ESMTK wins, 1 draw, 1 III. Kerületi TUE win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE 3-1 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Nov 2, 2025 | ESMTK 1-0 III. Kerületi TUE | NB III - Southeast |
| Feb 10, 2024 | III. Kerületi TUE 0-0 ESMTK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2023 | ESMTK 4-1 III. Kerületi TUE | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | III. Kerületi TUE 1-2 ESMTK | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ESMTK score 3.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; III. Kerületi TUE score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESMTK | 3.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| III. Kerületi TUE | 1.6 | 1.1 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ESMTK sit 2nd in NB III - Southeast (30 points from 13 matches) and III. Kerületi TUE sit 3rd (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ESMTK | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | III. Kerületi TUE | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 26 |
A question about ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE?
- The Footlab AI model makes ESMTK the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for III. Kerületi TUE.
- Where and when is ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE played?
- ESMTK vs III. Kerületi TUE is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ESMTK Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.