III. Kerületi TUE vs Gyulai Termál: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hévízi úti Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Gyulai Termál the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for III. Kerületi TUE. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win III. Kerületi TUE vs Gyulai Termál?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate III. Kerületi TUE (1,624) and Gyulai Termál (1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, III. Kerületi TUE have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Gyulai Termál have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-7 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sándorfalva(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Csepel(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BKV Előre(home) | 5-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bekescsaba 1912(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 4-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sándorfalva(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 III. Kerületi TUE win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gyulai Termál win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gyulai Termál 2-0 III. Kerületi TUE | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 12, 2025 | III. Kerületi TUE 2-1 Gyulai Termál | NB III - Southeast |
Last archived meeting: Gyulai Termál vs III. Kerületi TUE on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
III. Kerületi TUE score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gyulai Termál score 3.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| III. Kerületi TUE | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gyulai Termál | 3.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
III. Kerületi TUE sit 3rd in NB III - Southeast (12 points from 4 matches) and Gyulai Termál sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | III. Kerületi TUE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for III. Kerületi TUE vs Gyulai Termál?
- The Footlab model makes Gyulai Termál the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for III. Kerületi TUE.
- Where and when is III. Kerületi TUE vs Gyulai Termál played?
- III. Kerületi TUE vs Gyulai Termál is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hévízi úti Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.