Ijsselmeervogels vs AFC Amsterdam: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (IJsselmeervogels), Bunschoten-Spakenburg
The Footlab model makes Ijsselmeervogels the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Amsterdam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ijsselmeervogels vs AFC Amsterdam?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Ijsselmeervogels (1,852) and AFC Amsterdam (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ijsselmeervogels have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Amsterdam have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EVV(home) | 10-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kloetinge(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | HHC(home) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ijsselmeervogels win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 AFC Amsterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam 1-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-2 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-2 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 27, 2022 | AFC Amsterdam 3-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 4, 2022 | AFC Amsterdam 2-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-3 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: AFC Amsterdam vs Ijsselmeervogels on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ijsselmeervogels score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Amsterdam score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ijsselmeervogels | 2.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| AFC Amsterdam | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ijsselmeervogels sit 8th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and AFC Amsterdam sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ijsselmeervogels vs AFC Amsterdam?
- The Footlab model makes Ijsselmeervogels the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Amsterdam.
- Where and when is Ijsselmeervogels vs AFC Amsterdam played?
- Ijsselmeervogels vs AFC Amsterdam is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (IJsselmeervogels), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.