Koninklijke HFC vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Groenendaal, Heemstede
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Koninklijke HFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Koninklijke HFC vs Spakenburg?
Spakenburg starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Koninklijke HFC have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Spakenburg have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoek(away) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | ACV(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Koninklijke HFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Spakenburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC 3-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Spakenburg 3-2 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Spakenburg 3-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Koninklijke HFC 0-0 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Spakenburg 2-1 Koninklijke HFC | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Koninklijke HFC vs Spakenburg on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Koninklijke HFC score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koninklijke HFC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Koninklijke HFC sit 15th in Tweede Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Koninklijke HFC vs Spakenburg?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Koninklijke HFC.
- Where and when is Koninklijke HFC vs Spakenburg played?
- Koninklijke HFC vs Spakenburg is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Groenendaal, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.