IK brage vs Norrby IF: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borlänge Energi Arena Domnarvsvallen, Borlänge
The Footlab model makes Norrby IF the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for IK brage. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IK brage vs Norrby IF?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate IK brage (1,603) and Norrby IF (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IK brage have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Norrby IF have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 3-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(away) | 0-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(away) | 0-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oddevold(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 IK brage win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Norrby IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Norrby IF 0-1 IK brage | Superettan |
| Mar 5, 2023 | IK brage 5-0 Norrby IF | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Norrby IF 2-2 IK brage | Superettan |
| May 28, 2022 | IK brage 2-1 Norrby IF | Superettan |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Norrby IF 2-3 IK brage | Superettan |
| May 15, 2021 | IK brage 1-2 Norrby IF | Superettan |
How many goals should we expect?
IK brage score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Norrby IF score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK brage | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Norrby IF | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IK brage sit 13th in Superettan (21 points from 20 matches) and Norrby IF sit 12th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Norrby IF | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
| 13 | IK brage | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 38 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IK brage vs Norrby IF?
- The Footlab model makes Norrby IF the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for IK brage.
- Where and when is IK brage vs Norrby IF played?
- IK brage vs Norrby IF is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borlänge Energi Arena Domnarvsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.