IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Finnvedsvallen, Värnamo
The Footlab AI model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 1-1. If IFK Norrkoping wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,667 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping?
IFK Norrkoping starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,649).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
IFK Varnamo
4-4-2- 14M. Antonsson
- 9K. Meriluoto
- 10V. Claesson
- 11A. Ljungberg
- 26C. Johansson
- 8H. Andersson Mella
- 3A. Björnström
- 2J. Rapp
- 16Z. Råvik
- 18A. Motaraghebjafarpour
- 1H. Keto
IFK Norrkoping
4-3-3- 11E. Jemal
- 5C. Nyman
- 6V. Christiansson
- 8R. Nelson
- 34N. Sernelius
- 20A. Brönner
- 23A. Opsahl
- 3Olle Falth Viggo
- 4J. Weber
- 24A. Eriksson
- 1T. Krantz
Known absences
M. NeffatiOut · Wound
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Varnamo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; IFK Norrkoping have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(away) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oddevold(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Norrby IF(away) | 4-0 | Superettan |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Oct 13, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 4-0 | Superettan |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osters IF(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 IFK Varnamo win, 0 draws, 5 IFK Norrkoping wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping 6-0 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| Jul 21, 2025 | IFK Norrkoping 3-1 IFK Varnamo | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 27, 2025 | IFK Varnamo 1-3 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Jan 19, 2025 | IFK Norrkoping 1-0 IFK Varnamo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 27, 2024 | IFK Varnamo 1-2 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| May 27, 2024 | IFK Norrkoping 0-4 IFK Varnamo | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Varnamo on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Varnamo score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Norrkoping score 2.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Varnamo | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| IFK Norrkoping | 2.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Varnamo sit 12th in Superettan (32 points from 28 matches) and IFK Norrkoping sit 1st (62 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 18 | 62 |
| 12 | IFK Varnamo | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 48 | 32 |
A question about IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping?
- The Footlab AI model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping played?
- IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Finnvedsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.