Ilioupoli vs Thyella Diastavroseos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 14Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ilioupolis, Athens
The Footlab AI model makes Thyella Diastavroseos the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ilioupoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thyella Diastavroseos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,215 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilioupoli vs Thyella Diastavroseos?
Thyella Diastavroseos starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,685 vs 1,559).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilioupoli vs Thyella Diastavroseos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilioupoli
4-3-3- 21F. Miya
- 19E. Sam
- 7Georgios Lleshaj
- 28G. Neofytidis
- 30Aleksey Chayka
- 18Dimitrios Thomaidis
- 5M. Bougaidis
- 3Vangelis Keramidas
- 32G. Maidanos
- 69Sotirios Katsioulas
- 33Georgios Christodoulis
Thyella Diastavroseos
Not enough data to predict the Thyella Diastavroseos lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilioupoli have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Thyella Diastavroseos have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ilisiakos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Asteras Magoula(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pannaxiakos(away) | 3-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Acharnaikos(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Thyella Diastavroseos(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Asteras Magoula(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pannaxiakos(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Acharnaikos(away) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asteras Varis(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ilioupoli(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ilioupoli wins, 0 draws, 1 Thyella Diastavroseos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Thyella Diastavroseos 1-0 Ilioupoli | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilioupoli score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Thyella Diastavroseos score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilioupoli | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Thyella Diastavroseos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilioupoli sit 8th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (1 point from 1 match) and Thyella Diastavroseos sit 4th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thyella Diastavroseos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilioupoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Ilioupoli vs Thyella Diastavroseos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilioupoli vs Thyella Diastavroseos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thyella Diastavroseos the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ilioupoli.
- Where and when is Ilioupoli vs Thyella Diastavroseos played?
- Ilioupoli vs Thyella Diastavroseos is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ilioupolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.