Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Rafinas Panagiotis Skoufos, Rafina
The Footlab AI model makes Thyella Diastavroseos the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Ilioupoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thyella Diastavroseos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli?
Thyella Diastavroseos starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thyella Diastavroseos
Not enough data to predict the Thyella Diastavroseos lineup.
Ilioupoli
4-3-3- 21F. Miya
- 19E. Sam
- 7Georgios Lleshaj
- 28G. Neofytidis
- 30Aleksey Chayka
- 18Dimitrios Thomaidis
- 5M. Bougaidis
- 3Vangelis Keramidas
- 32G. Maidanos
- 69Sotirios Katsioulas
- 33Georgios Christodoulis
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thyella Diastavroseos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ilioupoli have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Ionia(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | AE Mykonos(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Ionikos(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Asteras Varis(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asteras Varis(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Egaleo(home) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kissamikos(away) | 0-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ellas Syros(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thyella Diastavroseos score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ilioupoli score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thyella Diastavroseos | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ilioupoli | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thyella Diastavroseos sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (3 points from 1 match) and Ilioupoli sit 8th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thyella Diastavroseos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilioupoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thyella Diastavroseos the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Ilioupoli.
- Where and when is Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli played?
- Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Rafinas Panagiotis Skoufos, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.