Ilirija vs Bistrica: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ilirija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Bistrica?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Ilirija (1,498) and Bistrica (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bistrica have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 4-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilirija(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krka(away) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ilirija win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bistrica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica 0-6 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ilirija 2-1 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Bistrica 2-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Ilirija 0-0 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Bistrica 2-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Ilirija 0-2 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bistrica score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bistrica | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 2nd in 2. SNL (9 points from 3 matches) and Bistrica sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Bistrica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Bistrica?
- The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ilirija.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Bistrica played?
- Ilirija vs Bistrica is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.