Ilirija vs Bistrica: prediction and stats
2. SNLMatchday 17Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab AI model makes Ilirija the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Bistrica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilirija wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Bistrica?
On Elo ratings, Ilirija has 1,506 points and Bistrica 1,614.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilirija vs Bistrica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilirija
Not enough data to predict the Ilirija lineup.
Bistrica
4-3-3- 44M. Kerin
- 38M. Vrdoljak
- LL. Ikac
- MM. Sitar
- AA. Repina
- 24D. Vidovic
- TT. Martić
- LL. Jusić
- JJ. Mesarič
- SStijan Gobec
- 1P. Fridrih
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Bistrica have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Triglav(home) | 1-4 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 4-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bilje(home) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Krka(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Krško(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Bilje(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ilirija wins, 3 draws, 1 Bistrica win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica 0-6 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ilirija 2-1 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Bistrica 2-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Ilirija 0-0 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Bistrica 2-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Ilirija 0-2 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bistrica score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bistrica | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 6th in 2. SNL (22 points from 14 matches) and Bistrica sit 5th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bistrica | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ilirija | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 22 |
A question about Ilirija vs Bistrica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Bistrica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilirija the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Bistrica.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Bistrica played?
- Ilirija vs Bistrica is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.