Rudar vs Ilirija: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Ob Jezeru, Velenje
The Footlab model makes Rudar the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Ilirija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rudar vs Ilirija?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Rudar (1,516) and Ilirija (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rudar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ilirija have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilirija(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krka(home) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Dekani(home) | 2-2 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rudar win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ilirija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilirija 2-0 Rudar | 2. SNL |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rudar 0-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ilirija 2-2 Rudar | 2. SNL |
| May 24, 2025 | Ilirija 1-2 Rudar | 2. SNL |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Rudar 0-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Rudar 2-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Rudar score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudar | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rudar sit 12th in 2. SNL (3 points from 3 matches) and Ilirija sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Rudar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rudar vs Ilirija?
- The Footlab model makes Rudar the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Ilirija.
- Where and when is Rudar vs Ilirija played?
- Rudar vs Ilirija is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Ob Jezeru, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.