Illertissen vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs Bayreuth?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,824).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Illertissen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bayreuth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth 2-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Illertissen 4-0 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Bayreuth 1-5 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Illertissen 3-3 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Bayreuth 1-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Bayreuth 0-1 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Bayreuth vs Illertissen on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs Bayreuth?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Bayreuth.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs Bayreuth played?
- Illertissen vs Bayreuth is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027TSV 1860 MünchenvsAubstadt
- Feb 27, 2027FC Schweinfurt 05vsVilzing
- Feb 27, 2027EichstättvsLandsberg
- Feb 27, 2027Augsburg IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Feb 27, 2027BuchbachvsAnsbach
- Feb 27, 2027Greuther Fürth IIvsEltersdorf
- Feb 27, 2027MemmingenvsBayern München II
- Feb 27, 2027Wacker BurghausenvsNürnberg II