Match

Illertissen vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen

IllertissenBayreuth

The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Illertissen vs Bayreuth?

Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,824).

Illertissen win63 %
Draw21 %
Bayreuth win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Illertissen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Bayreuth(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(home)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Landsberg(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(home)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Eichstätt(away)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Bayreuth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Illertissen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(away)1-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Memmingen(home)1-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026Greuther Fürth II(away)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Augsburg II(home)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Illertissen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bayreuth win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Bayreuth 2-2 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Nov 22, 2025Illertissen 4-0 BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2025Bayreuth 1-5 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Apr 15, 2025Illertissen 3-3 BayreuthRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 14, 2024Bayreuth 1-0 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern
Mar 1, 2024Bayreuth 0-1 IllertissenRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Bayreuth vs Illertissen on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Illertissen2.30.976/1510/15
Bayreuth2.21.459/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Illertissen532012411
10Bayreuth5212977

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs Bayreuth?
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Bayreuth.
Where and when is Illertissen vs Bayreuth played?
Illertissen vs Bayreuth is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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