Illertissen vs Greuther Fürth II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 17Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Greuther Fürth II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs Greuther Fürth II?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Greuther Fürth II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Landsberg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayreuth(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Illertissen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Greuther Fürth II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Greuther Fürth II 1-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Illertissen 2-1 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Illertissen 0-0 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Greuther Fürth II 0-3 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 15, 2024 | Greuther Fürth II 2-1 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Illertissen 2-2 Greuther Fürth II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Greuther Fürth II score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Greuther Fürth II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Greuther Fürth II sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs Greuther Fürth II?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Greuther Fürth II.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs Greuther Fürth II played?
- Illertissen vs Greuther Fürth II is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsBuchbach
- Oct 31, 2026AubstadtvsVilzing
- Oct 31, 2026BayreuthvsNürnberg II
- Oct 31, 2026MemmingenvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Oct 31, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Oct 31, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsEltersdorf
- Oct 31, 2026AnsbachvsAugsburg II
- Oct 31, 2026LandsbergvsBayern München II