Match

TSV 1860 München vs Buchbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 17Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, München

TSV 1860 MünchenBuchbach

The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TSV 1860 München vs Buchbach?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate TSV 1860 München (1,914) and Buchbach (1,870).

TSV 1860 München win47 %
Draw25 %
Buchbach win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV 1860 München have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Buchbach have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TSV 1860 München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)0-2DFB Pokal
Aug 18, 2026Aubstadt(away)3-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Memmingen(away)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Augsburg II(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Buchbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Ansbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Aubstadt(home)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Nürnberg II(away)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Eichstätt(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern

How many goals should we expect?

TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TSV 1860 München1.31.639/1510/15
Buchbach1.92.139/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TSV 1860 München sit 6th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 4 matches) and Buchbach sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Buchbach532012411
6TSV 1860 München42201068

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TSV 1860 München vs Buchbach?
The Footlab model makes TSV 1860 München the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach.
Where and when is TSV 1860 München vs Buchbach played?
TSV 1860 München vs Buchbach is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: TSV 1860 München and Buchbach

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