Illueca vs Fraga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Papa Luna, Illueca
The Footlab AI model makes Fraga the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Illueca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fraga wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illueca vs Fraga?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Illueca (1,657) and Fraga (1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Illueca vs Fraga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Illueca
4-3-3- MMarvin Kombe
- ÁÁlex Villalba
- JJulio Liso
- DDaniel Andreu
- PPablo AgustÃn
- EEmilio Mene
- CCarlos Montllor
- JJaime Gumiel
- CChristian Yus
- RRubén Pérez Bueno
- SSergio De Cea
Fraga
4-3-3- AAlexis Quibus Berenguer
- CCésar
- RRamón Sanjuan Navarro
- MMarc García
- NNicolás Puch Ricart
- IIker Bautista
- MMarcel Ormo Suñé
- GGenís Serra
- IIvan Visa
- IIván Combes
- DDavid Jimenez Julian
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illueca have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fraga have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CD Sietamo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almudévar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Belchite 97(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brea(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Almudévar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Illueca win, 2 draws, 2 Fraga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Fraga 4-0 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Illueca 1-2 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Feb 17, 2021 | Illueca 1-0 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Fraga 0-0 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Fraga 0-0 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Illueca score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fraga score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illueca | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Fraga | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illueca sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (7 points from 6 matches) and Fraga sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 13 | Illueca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Illueca vs Fraga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illueca vs Fraga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fraga the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Illueca.
- Where and when is Illueca vs Fraga played?
- Illueca vs Fraga is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Papa Luna, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.