Brea vs Real Zaragoza II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, Brea de Aragón
The Footlab AI model makes Real Zaragoza II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Brea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Zaragoza II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,600 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brea vs Real Zaragoza II?
Real Zaragoza II starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brea vs Real Zaragoza II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brea
4-3-3- MMarzal Garcia
- JJorge Espinal
- HHugo Gracia
- PPablo AgustÃn
- SSamuel Cardo
- MMarcos Lorenz
- AAlejandro Conte
- 12Christian Yus
- DDaniel Porroche
- YYeray Jaraba
- TTatu
Real Zaragoza II
Not enough data to predict the Real Zaragoza II lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 11:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brea have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Real Zaragoza II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Robres(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Caspe(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Almunia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Andorra CF(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Almudévar(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fraga(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Robres(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Brea wins, 0 draws, 3 Real Zaragoza II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Real Zaragoza II 2-0 Brea | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Brea 0-1 Real Zaragoza II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Real Zaragoza II 2-1 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
Last archived meeting: Real Zaragoza II vs Brea on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Brea score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Zaragoza II score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brea | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Zaragoza II | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brea sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (14 points from 7 matches) and Real Zaragoza II sit 1st (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Zaragoza II | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Brea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
A question about Brea vs Real Zaragoza II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brea vs Real Zaragoza II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Zaragoza II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Brea.
- Where and when is Brea vs Real Zaragoza II played?
- Brea vs Real Zaragoza II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.