Imperia vs Asti: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nino Ciccione, Imperia
The Footlab model makes Imperia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Asti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Imperia vs Asti?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Imperia (1,670) and Asti (1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Imperia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Asti have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | NovaRomentin(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Club Milano(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Imperia win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Asti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Imperia 2-2 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Asti 0-1 Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Imperia 4-1 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Asti 1-0 Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Imperia 0-0 Asti | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Asti 1-1 Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Imperia score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Asti score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imperia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Asti | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Imperia sit 12th in Serie D - Girone A (41 points from 34 matches) and Asti sit 16th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Imperia | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36 | 44 | 41 |
| 16 | Asti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Imperia vs Asti?
- The Footlab model makes Imperia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Asti.
- Where and when is Imperia vs Asti played?
- Imperia vs Asti is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nino Ciccione, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.