IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Bežanija, Beograd
The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for IMT Novi Beograd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
FK Crvena Zvezda is a heavy favourite: 2,043 Elo points against 1,685, a 358-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IMT Novi Beograd have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FK Crvena Zvezda have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Macva(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Partizan(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 IMT Novi Beograd win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 FK Crvena Zvezda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 6-1 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 4-0 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | IMT Novi Beograd 1-3 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Apr 3, 2024 | FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IMT Novi Beograd score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Beograd | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IMT Novi Beograd sit 2nd in Super Liga (10 points from 6 matches) and FK Crvena Zvezda sit 3rd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
- The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for IMT Novi Beograd.
- Where and when is IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?
- IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Bežanija, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.