IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Bežanija, Beograd
The Footlab model makes IMT Novi Beograd the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Mladost Lucani. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate IMT Novi Beograd (1,685) and Mladost Lucani (1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IMT Novi Beograd have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Mladost Lucani have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki 1923(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Macva(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Partizan(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 3-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemun(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IMT Novi Beograd win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Mladost Lucani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | IMT Novi Beograd 1-3 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Mladost Lucani 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IMT Novi Beograd 3-0 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Mladost Lucani 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd | Cup |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Mladost Lucani 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IMT Novi Beograd score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mladost Lucani score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Beograd | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Mladost Lucani | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IMT Novi Beograd sit 3rd in Super Liga (10 points from 6 matches) and Mladost Lucani sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IMT Novi Beograd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani?
- The Footlab model makes IMT Novi Beograd the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Mladost Lucani.
- Where and when is IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani played?
- IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lucani is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Bežanija, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.