Novi Pazar vs Macva: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Caizcoin Arena, Novi Pazar
The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Macva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Macva?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Novi Pazar (1,697) and Macva (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novi Pazar have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Macva have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vojvodina(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Beograd(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnicki NIS(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radnik Surdulica(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(home) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Novi Pazar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Macva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Macva 2-1 Novi Pazar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Novi Pazar 4-0 Macva | Super Liga |
| Aug 23, 2020 | Macva 1-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Novi Pazar score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Macva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Macva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novi Pazar sit 9th in Super Liga (7 points from 6 matches) and Macva sit 10th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Macva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novi Pazar vs Macva?
- The Footlab model makes Novi Pazar the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Macva.
- Where and when is Novi Pazar vs Macva played?
- Novi Pazar vs Macva is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Caizcoin Arena, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.