Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional: result 3-4 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 15Kick-off on June 17, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
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What was the result of Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional?
El Nacional won 3-4 on June 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 4′M. HoyosIndependiente del Valle
- 27′R. CarrilloEl Nacional
- 40′A. MicoltaEl Nacional
- 48′M. SolísEl Nacional
- 61′L. DíazIndependiente del Valle
- 90′J. SornozaIndependiente del Valle (pen.)
- 90′A. QuiñonezEl Nacional (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; El Nacional have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2023 | Orense SC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Corinthians(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Aucas(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 28, 2023 | LDU de Quito(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| May 24, 2023 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Gualaceo SC(away) | 4-3 | Liga Pro |
| May 28, 2023 | Barcelona SC(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| May 21, 2023 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| May 13, 2023 | Orense SC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Independiente del Valle win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 El Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2022 | El Nacional 0-2 Independiente del Valle | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Independiente del Valle 3-1 El Nacional | Copa Ecuador |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Independiente del Valle 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2020 | El Nacional 2-4 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Oct 26, 2019 | El Nacional 4-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| May 18, 2019 | Independiente del Valle 1-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle on Oct 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; El Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| El Nacional | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy