Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional: result 1-4 and analysis
Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 8, 2019 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Atletico Nacional won 1-4 on September 8, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 19′J. BarreraAtletico Nacional
- 32′H. BarcosAtletico Nacional
- 45′P. CeppeliniAtletico Nacional
- 84′V. HernándezAtletico Nacional
- 89′G. CanoIndependiente Medellin (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2019 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Once Caldas(away) | 3-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 2-5 | Primera A |
| Aug 22, 2019 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2019 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2019 | Millonarios(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 0-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Independiente Medellin(home) | 5-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 22, 2019 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Union Magdalena(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Independiente Medellin win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Atletico Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2019 | Atletico Nacional 5-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Apr 25, 2019 | Atletico Nacional 1-0 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Independiente Medellin 2-2 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Independiente Medellin 2-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
| Apr 8, 2018 | Atletico Nacional 2-0 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Atletico Nacional 0-0 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin on Aug 25, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico Nacional | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy