Independiente vs Fortaleza EC: result 1-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL Sudamericana1st RoundKick-off on February 14, 2020 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Independiente vs Fortaleza EC?
Independiente won 1-0 on February 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 51′L. FernándezIndependiente
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Racing Club(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Rosario Central(home) | 5-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jan 27, 2020 | Boca Juniors(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jan 19, 2020 | River Plate(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Dec 13, 2019 | Newells Old Boys(home) | 2-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | Santa Cruz(home) | 3-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 6, 2020 | Uniclinic Atletico Clube(home) | 5-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Ceara(home) | 1-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Caucaia(away) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Vitoria(away) | 0-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 4, 2020Nacional Potosí0-2FBC Melgar
- Feb 4, 2020Coquimbo Unido3-0Aragua FC
- Feb 5, 2020Fluminense1-1Union La Calera
- Feb 5, 2020Velez Sarsfield1-0Aucas
- Feb 5, 2020Fenix1-0El Nacional
- Feb 5, 2020Mineros de Guyana2-3Sportivo Luqueno
- Feb 6, 2020Atletico Nacional3-0Huracan
- Feb 6, 2020Vasco DA Gama1-0Oriente Petrolero