Match

İnegölspor vs İskenderunspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 12Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl

İnegölsporİskenderunspor

The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for İskenderunspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win İnegölspor vs İskenderunspor?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate İnegölspor (1,757) and İskenderunspor (1,723).

İnegölspor win56 %
Draw23 %
İskenderunspor win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegölspor have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; İskenderunspor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

İnegölspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Altınordu(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Ankaragücü(away)2-12. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Elazığspor(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)1-42. Lig
İskenderunspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Ankaragücü(away)1-42. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Elazığspor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)0-22. Lig
Apr 8, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-12. Lig
Mar 28, 2026Erbaaspor(away)0-22. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 İnegölspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 İskenderunspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2026İskenderunspor 1-1 İnegölspor2. Lig
Nov 26, 2025İnegölspor 1-0 İskenderunspor2. Lig
Feb 8, 2025İskenderunspor 2-1 İnegölspor2. Lig
Sep 21, 2024İnegölspor 1-1 İskenderunspor2. Lig
Mar 16, 2024İnegölspor 1-0 İskenderunspor2. Lig
Nov 5, 2023İskenderunspor 3-1 İnegölspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: İskenderunspor vs İnegölspor on Mar 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; İskenderunspor score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
İnegölspor1.61.359/1510/15
İskenderunspor1.11.438/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

İnegölspor sit 7th in 2. Lig (60 points from 36 matches) and İskenderunspor sit 8th (56 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7İnegölspor3616128674460
8İskenderunspor3616812504456

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for İnegölspor vs İskenderunspor?
The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for İskenderunspor.
Where and when is İnegölspor vs İskenderunspor played?
İnegölspor vs İskenderunspor is played on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: İnegölspor and İskenderunspor

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