12 Bingölspor vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 12Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bingöl Şehir Stadyumu, Bingöl
The Footlab model makes 12 Bingölspor the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 12 Bingölspor vs Sakaryaspor?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate 12 Bingölspor (1,622) and Sakaryaspor (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 12 Bingölspor have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Osmaniyespor(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Türk Metal 1963(home) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-5 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 12 Bingölspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sakaryaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2017 | Sakaryaspor 1-1 12 Bingölspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 12 Bingölspor 1-1 Sakaryaspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sakaryaspor vs 12 Bingölspor on Apr 14, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
12 Bingölspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Bingölspor | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Sakaryaspor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 12 Bingölspor vs Sakaryaspor?
- The Footlab model makes 12 Bingölspor the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sakaryaspor.
- Where and when is 12 Bingölspor vs Sakaryaspor played?
- 12 Bingölspor vs Sakaryaspor is played on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bingöl Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 18, 2026AnkaragücüvsKırklarelispor
- Nov 18, 2026Ankara DemirsporvsYeni Orduspor
- Nov 18, 2026FethiyesporvsKütahyaspor
- Nov 18, 2026İnegölsporvsİskenderunspor
- Nov 18, 20261461 Trabzon FKvs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
- Nov 18, 2026Karacabey BelediyesporvsBeyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
- Nov 18, 2026Serik Sporvs24 Erzincanspor