Match

Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 12Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BZA Süd-Ost, Ingolstadt

Ingolstadt IIAmmerthal

The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Ammerthal. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal?

Ingolstadt II starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,650).

Ingolstadt II win58 %
Draw20 %
Ammerthal win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ingolstadt II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ammerthal have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ingolstadt II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Großbardorf(away)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Nordlingen(away)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026Würzburger FV(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 8, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away)0-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 1, 2026Jahn Regensburg II(home)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Ammerthal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gebenbach(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Stadeln(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Weiden(away)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Bayern Hof(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ingolstadt II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ammerthal win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2025Ingolstadt II 2-1 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 24, 2024Ammerthal 0-0 Ingolstadt IIOberliga - Bayern Nord
Mar 23, 2024Ingolstadt II 1-2 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Sep 5, 2023Ammerthal 3-1 Ingolstadt IIOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal on Mar 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ammerthal score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ingolstadt II1.92.139/1513/15
Ammerthal1.12.3210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Ingolstadt II3214712645448

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal?
The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Ammerthal.
Where and when is Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal played?
Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BZA Süd-Ost, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ingolstadt II and Ammerthal

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