Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 12Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BZA Süd-Ost, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Ammerthal. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal?
Ingolstadt II starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ingolstadt II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ammerthal have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Weiden(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bayern Hof(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ingolstadt II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ammerthal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 2-1 Ammerthal | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Ammerthal 0-0 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 1-2 Ammerthal | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Ammerthal 3-1 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ammerthal score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Ammerthal | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal?
- The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Ammerthal.
- Where and when is Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal played?
- Ingolstadt II vs Ammerthal is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BZA Süd-Ost, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 25, 2026GebenbachvsFortuna Regensburg
- Sep 25, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsBayern Hof
- Sep 25, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsDJK Bamberg
- Sep 26, 2026StadelnvsGroßbardorf
- Sep 26, 2026Eintracht BambergvsCham
- Sep 26, 2026Würzburger FVvsKornburg
- Sep 26, 2026NordlingenvsASV Neumarkt
- Sep 26, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsWeiden