Nordlingen vs ASV Neumarkt: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 12Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Gerd-Müller-Stadion, Nördlingen
The Footlab model makes Nordlingen the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for ASV Neumarkt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordlingen vs ASV Neumarkt?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Nordlingen (1,712) and ASV Neumarkt (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordlingen have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; ASV Neumarkt have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Würzburger FV(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Nordlingen score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordlingen | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| ASV Neumarkt | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 50 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordlingen vs ASV Neumarkt?
- The Footlab model makes Nordlingen the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for ASV Neumarkt.
- Where and when is Nordlingen vs ASV Neumarkt played?
- Nordlingen vs ASV Neumarkt is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Gerd-Müller-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 25, 2026GebenbachvsFortuna Regensburg
- Sep 25, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsDJK Bamberg
- Sep 25, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsBayern Hof
- Sep 26, 2026StadelnvsGroßbardorf
- Sep 26, 2026Eintracht BambergvsCham
- Sep 26, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsAmmerthal
- Sep 26, 2026Würzburger FVvsKornburg
- Sep 26, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsWeiden