İnkılapspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for İnkılapspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İnkılapspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnkılapspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Edirnespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Çankaya FK(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(home) | 5-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
İnkılapspor score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İnkılapspor | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | İnkılapspor | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İnkılapspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?
- The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for İnkılapspor.
- Where and when is İnkılapspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?
- İnkılapspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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