Pazarspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, Pazar
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pazarspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Pazarspor (1,593) and Fatsa Belediyespor (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pazarspor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Fatsa Belediyespor have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zonguldak Kömürspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Düzcespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 5-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Pazarspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor 0-2 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Pazarspor 2-1 Fatsa Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Pazarspor on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pazarspor | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Fatsa Belediyespor | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pazarspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Pazarspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?
- Pazarspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Beykoz AnadoluvsSilivrispor
- Mar 13, 2027Zonguldak KömürsporvsKartal Bulvarspor
- Mar 13, 2027DüzcesporvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
- Mar 13, 2027Orduspor 1967vsYalova Yeşilovaspor
- Mar 13, 2027Karabük İdman YurduvsTokat Bld Plevnespor
- Mar 13, 2027Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsGölcükspor
- Mar 13, 2027GalatavsAmasyaspor 1968
- Mar 13, 2027İnkılapsporvsKaradeniz Ereğli BSK