Where and when is İnkılapspor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor played?

İnkılapspor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

İnkılapspor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, İstanbul

İnkılapspor

Yalova Yeşilovaspor

The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for İnkılapspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win İnkılapspor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate İnkılapspor (1,511) and Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,548).

İnkılapspor win33 %

Draw29 %

Yalova Yeşilovaspor win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnkılapspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

İnkılapspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Edirnespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Çankaya FK(home)	0-5	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026	Bursa Yıldırımspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 1

Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	İnkılapspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Etimesgut SK(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026	1926 Polatlı Belediye(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026	Nilüfer Belediye(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 İnkılapspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Yalova Yeşilovaspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	İnkılapspor 1-0 Yalova Yeşilovaspor	3. Lig - Group 1
Dec 20, 2025	Yalova Yeşilovaspor 0-0 İnkılapspor	3. Lig - Group 1

Last archived meeting: İnkılapspor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

İnkılapspor score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
İnkılapspor	0.8	1.2	5	6/15	4/15
Yalova Yeşilovaspor	1.1	1.3	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

İnkılapspor sit 12th in 3. Lig - Group 1 (35 points from 30 matches) and Yalova Yeşilovaspor sit 9th (37 points from 30 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	30	9	10	11	38	36	37
12	İnkılapspor	30	7	14	9	23	36	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for İnkılapspor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?: The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for İnkılapspor.
Where and when is İnkılapspor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor played?: İnkılapspor vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anadolu Hisarı Akademi Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.