Institute vs Ards: result 3-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 22, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Londonderry
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What was the result of Institute vs Ards?
Institute won 3-2 on December 22, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 15′?Institute
- 52′?Ards (pen.)
- 59′?Ards
- 62′?Institute
- 90′?Institute
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Institute have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ards have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Annagh United(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Annagh United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Dergview(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | Portadown(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Dundela(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Institute win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Ards win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | Ards 2-3 Institute | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Institute 1-1 Ards | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Ards 1-1 Institute | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Institute 2-0 Ards | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Ards 0-1 Institute | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Ards 1-1 Institute | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Institute score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ards score 2.2 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institute | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ards | 2.2 | 2.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Institute sit 12th in Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Ards sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ards | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Institute | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 46 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 59 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 43 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
| 12 | Institute | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy