Institute vs Ards: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRelegation Group - 37Kick-off on April 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Londonderry
Full time
What was the result of Institute vs Ards?
Institute won 3-1 on April 18, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Institute have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ards have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Institute win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Ards win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ards 0-0 Institute | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ards 0-3 Institute | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Institute 2-2 Ards | Championship |
| Mar 18, 2025 | Institute 2-3 Ards | Championship |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Institute 2-4 Ards | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ards 0-0 Institute | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Institute score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ards score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institute | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ards | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Institute sit 12th in Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Ards sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ards | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Institute | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 46 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 59 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 43 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
| 12 | Institute | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy