Inter Miami II vs Orlando City II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
The Footlab model makes Inter Miami II the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Orlando City II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Miami II vs Orlando City II?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Inter Miami II (1,547) and Orlando City II (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Orlando City II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chicago Fire II(away) | 1-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New England II(home) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Huntsville City(away) | 0-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crown Legacy(home) | 0-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chattanooga(home) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlanta United II(away) | 1-5 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chicago Fire II(away) | 0-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 11, 2026 | New York City II(away) | 0-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Connecticut FC(away) | 2-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Huntsville City(home) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Inter Miami II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Orlando City II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Orlando City II 4-1 Inter Miami II | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Orlando City II 4-4 Inter Miami II | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Inter Miami II 1-1 Orlando City II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 17, 2025 | Orlando City II 3-0 Inter Miami II | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Inter Miami II 3-2 Orlando City II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Orlando City II 1-1 Inter Miami II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Orlando City II vs Inter Miami II on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Miami II score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando City II score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami II | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Orlando City II | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Miami II sit 8th in MLS Next Pro (11 points from 23 matches) and Orlando City II sit 6th (35 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Orlando City II | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 48 | 35 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 21 | 56 | 11 |
| 9 | Orlando City II | 23 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 43 | 35 |
| 11 | Orlando City II | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 48 | 35 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 21 | 56 | 11 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 21 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 16 | 51 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Miami II vs Orlando City II?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Miami II the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Orlando City II.
- Where and when is Inter Miami II vs Orlando City II played?
- Inter Miami II vs Orlando City II is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC