Inter San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Pital, Pital
The Footlab model makes Inter San Carlos the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Liberia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Inter San Carlos (1,784) and Municipal Liberia (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter San Carlos have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Municipal Liberia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Carlos(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter San Carlos score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Municipal Liberia score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter San Carlos | 1.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Municipal Liberia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Inter San Carlos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?
- The Footlab model makes Inter San Carlos the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Liberia.
- Where and when is Inter San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia played?
- Inter San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Pital, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.